Jeff Sadow: How Credible is the Latest Governor’s Race Poll? [VIDEO]
Political analyst Dr. Jeff Sadow talks with 101.7 / 710 KEEL's Robert J Wright and Erin McCarty about the latest poll in the state governor's race, a survey that shows incumbent John Bel Edwards at 52%.
Sadow, a political science professor at Shreveport's Louisiana State University, tells KEEL listeners that he is skeptical of some of pollster Verne Kennedy's findings, specifically the Edwards numbers, because of the way undecided voters were "redestributed."
"After Kennedy redistributed the votes of undecided voters and black voters, the poll showed Edwards winning 52% of the vote. Abraham received 25%, while Rispone won 19%. Four minor candidates divided the other 4%. (Following his usual practice, Kennedy redistributed undecided voters based upon the decided vote, and he reallocated the votes of black voters to match the 90% that they historically give to statewide Democratic candidates, up from the 54% that Edwards received in the poll.)"
But the poll also showed a bump in support for Republican challenger Eddie Rispone. The Baton Rouge businessman. Again from theadvocate.com:
"Kennedy said the most striking feature of the August poll was Rispone’s sharp rise. Kennedy estimated that Abraham had about 23% and Rispone 7% in April versus 25% and 19%, respectively in August."