Which Louisiana Parishes Face the Highest Hurricane Hit Risk This Year?

SHREVEPORT, LA – We are rapidly approaching hurricane season for 2025 and Louisiana residents need to keep an eye on the storms that develop in the Gulf. Hurricane season kicks off on June 1 and runs through November 30.

Residents all along the coastline should be on alert this year. In fact, Shreveport and north Louisiana could also feel the remnants of some of these storms. We are also one of the spots folks evacuate to in the event of a major storm.

What Is the Prediction for the 2025 Hurricane Season?

Some experts are saying we could see a milder hurricane season this year. Weatherbell.com says we should see fewer impacts compared to last year.

These numbers are based on data from Colorado State University, on what areas are most likely to see a hit from a named storm this year.

The team at CSU have checked out the data for the entire state and for each parish along the coast.

What Are the Chances of a Hurricane Hitting Louisiana in 2025?

The chance of Louisiana seeing the impact from a named storm is 74%. Our chance of having a hurricane hit the state is 46% while we have an 18% chance of being pummeled by a major hurricane.

Only Florida and North Carolina have higher chances of being impacted by a hurricane in this report.

What Louisiana Parishes Are Most Likely to Be Hit by a Hurricane?

Terrebonne Parish is one of the top two areas that should be very careful as the storms ramp up in the Gulf. The far south Louisiana Parish has a 51% chance of seeing a hurricane landfall this year. This equals the chances in Plaquemines Parish.

Plaquemines Parish also has a 51% chance of seeing a storm roar across the coast and making a direct impact.

St. Bernard Parish was one of the areas in Louisiana that was battered severely by Hurricane Katrina 20 years ago. The area is still not back fully from that devastating storm. The parish has a 49% chance of being impacted by a hurricane this year.

Lafourche Parish is at the southern tip of the state and includes the Grand Isle community. The area has a 47%  probability of being hit by a named storm this year.

Jefferson Parish  should also gear up for what could be a busy season. The highly populated area around New Orleans has a 46% shot of seeing a hurricane roar into the area this year.

St. Mary Parish is in the heart of the Cajun country where the Atchafalaya River meets the Gulf. The area has a 42% probability of a named storm making landfall along its coast in 2025.

Iberia Parish should brace for the season this year. The area has a 42% chance of having to hunker down for a hurricane landfall in the area this year.

St. Tammany Parish should brace for a middle of the road hurricane season this year. The area just north of New Orleans has a 41% chance of taking a direct hit from a storm this year.

Cameron Parish has been hit hard by storms over the past few years. Hurricanes Laura and Delta did extensive damage. This year, the area is looking at a 38% probability of a hurricane landfall.

Vermillion Parish has a long stretch of frontage on the Gulf in southwest Louisiana, and has a 37% probability of seeing a named storm roar ashore this year. Vermilion joins Cameron as the coastal parishes with the lowest probability of a landfall for the 2025 season.